2024-10-08 Climate Doom

I follow @peterdutoit@mastodon.green on fedi. He posts climate news and his goal is "climate literacy" – ensuring that even if people can't stop what's coming they at least understand what's coming. And act accordingly.

Just now, for example, he linked to the Copernicus bulletin:

According to the ERA5 dataset, globally September 2024 was … 1.54°C warmer than an estimate of the pre-industrial average for 1850-1900 … the average for the latest 12-month period (October 2023 to September 2024) was … an estimated 1.62°C above the 1850-1900 level – Surface air temperature for September 2024, by the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S)

Surface air temperature for September 2024

Remember Paris 2015?

The Paris Agreement was negotiated by 196 parties at the 2015 United Nations Climate Change Conference near Paris, France. As of February 2023, 195 members of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) are parties to the agreement. … The Paris Agreement has a long-term temperature goal which is to keep the rise in global surface temperature to well below 2 °C (3.6 °F) above pre-industrial levels. The treaty also states that preferably the limit of the increase should only be 1.5 °C (2.7 °F). The lower the temperature increase, the smaller the effects of climate change can be expected. To achieve this temperature goal, greenhouse gas emissions should be reduced as soon as, and by as much as, possible. They should even reach net zero by the middle of the 21st century. To stay below 1.5 °C of global warming, emissions need to be cut by roughly 50% by 2030. – Paris Agreement, Wikipedia

Paris Agreement

We need to try harder. It sounds terrible. We need to do stop cars, stop planes, reduce heating, reduce building, reduce meat, and on and on. If we do it on our own accord ("degrowth") we get to choose what to keep. If we do not, the survivors get to choose what to do.

Changes are very low for us to be among the survivors, I suspect.

​#Climate